The maximum, with 11.3 million inhabitants, occurred in 2012, while at the end of the century there will be 5.5 million.
14ymedio, Madrid, July 15, 2024 — Cuba is one of the countries that shows the most negative population statistics in the UN demographic perspectives report. The document, prepared with a database that goes from 1950 to 2100, indicates that the Island reached its peak population in 2012, when it had 11,303,175 inhabitants. When the 21st century ends, the projection indicates that there will be only 5,577,280, 50% less.
The fall in population will not be an exclusive phenomenon of Cuba, although its situation is extraordinary. The report reflects that in 2080, the planet will reach its maximum level with 10.3 billion people, and then over the next twenty years there will be a decline of 6%, since in 2100 there will be 9.6 billion inhabitants, according to the document, entitled “World Population Outlook 2024” and prepared by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
In general, the fall is attributed to a lower fertility rate in the large world economies. This is the case of several nations that are currently in the group of the ultra-low fertility rate; fewer than 1.4 births per woman. Cuba barely escapes that group, since currently this figure stands at 1.44. However, everything indicates that the blow to the Cuban population is not because of this.
In general, the fall is attributed to a lower fertility rate in the large world economies
Spain is in that segment, with a fertility rate of 1.2 children per woman. Although the UN estimates that it will rise slightly to 1.38, its population, which is currently 47.9 million, will fall to 32.1 million people in 2100, a sharp decrease of 33%, much lower than that of the Island, so the causes point more to migration.
According to UN forecasts, of the 5.5 million Cubans that there will be in 2100, 2.8 will be men and 2.7 w